Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.000171 0.000190 0.000210 0.000233 0.000260 0.000288 0.000322
2025-03-30 0.000141 0.000169 0.000202 0.000243 0.000294 0.000355 0.000434
2025-04-06 0.000117 0.000148 0.000186 0.000238 0.000306 0.000395 0.000519
2025-04-13 0.000097 0.000128 0.000168 0.000226 0.000306 0.000415 0.000579
2025-04-20 0.000087 0.000119 0.000162 0.000226 0.000321 0.000457 0.000672
2025-04-27 0.000080 0.000113 0.000159 0.000231 0.000341 0.000508 0.000786
2025-05-04 0.000072 0.000105 0.000153 0.000230 0.000352 0.000545 0.000882
2025-05-11 0.000067 0.000100 0.000150 0.000232 0.000367 0.000590 0.000998
2025-05-18 0.000062 0.000094 0.000145 0.000230 0.000376 0.000626 0.001102
2025-05-25 0.000057 0.000089 0.000140 0.000229 0.000385 0.000662 0.001213
2025-06-01 0.000053 0.000084 0.000135 0.000226 0.000391 0.000693 0.001318
2025-06-08 0.000048 0.000078 0.000127 0.000218 0.000386 0.000703 0.001383
2025-06-15 0.000046 0.000075 0.000125 0.000219 0.000401 0.000755 0.001546
2025-06-22 0.000044 0.000074 0.000126 0.000227 0.000428 0.000835 0.001789
2025-06-29 0.000040 0.000069 0.000120 0.000222 0.000430 0.000864 0.001920
2025-07-06 0.000036 0.000063 0.000112 0.000211 0.000417 0.000861 0.001976
2025-07-13 0.000034 0.000061 0.000110 0.000211 0.000430 0.000914 0.002181
2025-07-20 0.000033 0.000060 0.000110 0.000216 0.000451 0.000990 0.002461
2025-07-27 0.000031 0.000057 0.000107 0.000214 0.000459 0.001037 0.002673
2025-08-03 0.000030 0.000056 0.000106 0.000216 0.000475 0.001103 0.002956
2025-08-10 0.000028 0.000053 0.000103 0.000215 0.000482 0.001151 0.003193
2025-08-17 0.000027 0.000051 0.000100 0.000213 0.000490 0.001201 0.003451
2025-08-24 0.000025 0.000049 0.000097 0.000211 0.000494 0.001242 0.003689